With Jerry McNerney holding on to only a slim lead in CA-11, it’s more than possible that District Republicans will pull together and elect David Harmer and turn McNerney out of office.
The Central Valley Callout blog is reporting a new third party voter survey in CD 11:
Jerry McNerney is an incumbent in a “throw the bums out” year. His district has zero registration advantage for him as a Democrat, and the National Republican Congressional Committee has targeted the seat. But even against gales of hurricane born tar balls, McNerney clings to hope. See poll results
Central Valley Callout has obtained the results of a mid-June, third party survey of CD 11 showing McNerney barely leading against David Harmer:
IF THE GENERAL ELECTION FOR CONGRESS WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?
| CANDIDATE | % |
| Christensen | 4.5 |
| Harmer | 40.5 |
| McNerney | 42.3 |
| Undecided | 12.2 |
Republicans are not only in the fight, they’re on a path to victory. They are motivated and eager to send a vote for the Obama agenda out of office. The survey indicates the district is headed for big change:
IF YOUR CHOICES FOR GOVERNOR ARE MEG WHITMAN OR JERRY BROWN, FOR WHOM DO YOU INTEND TO VOTE?
| CANDIDATE | % |
| Brown | 37.4 |
| Whitman | 49.4 |
| Undecided | 13.2 |
Voters think they know Jerry Brown, and they’re already tired of him before he even begins campaigning in earnest. This is going to directly carry over to the Congressional race: no matter how much McNerney tries to stay out of the public eye, he’ll be tagged with both Brown and Obama.
The Democratic attack machine is going to have to do a lot better than their lame June 9 press release, David Harmer: A Shining Example of Bailout Hypocrisy. This grotesque distortion of Harmer’s work history reveals the disgusting, dishonorable depths to which the Democrats will descend in this election fight. Make no doubt about it, “lawyer” is a better ballot designation than “incumbent.”
It’s more than possible that District Republicans will pull together and turn McNerney out of office.
Bill Gram-Reefer is Editor & Publisher of Halfway To Concord, founded in 2004. Halfway To Concord is the leading online source for community-driven political news, events, and opinion for Contra Costa County and the San Francisco East Bay.
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You will curse the day you rewarded the republicans for playing politics with the US economy. They represent the top 1% of the population and their fools.
McNereny will LOSE by 4 to 5 points because there will not be an Obama bounce in November. It will be quite the opposite and will be the Obama blues for all incumbent demos.
This is the same nonsense that came out in 08. Mcnerney will win by two to three points. Polls like these are not real indicators of outcome. We don’t know who is polled nor do we know the margin of error.
I expected McNerney to be in better shape. With Whitman in double digits, it appears that Harmer has room to grow. This is the race to watch.
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