Harmer says he leads Garamendi

by BGR on September 30, 2009

david harmer, harmerforcongress.com, cd-10, tenth congressional district in california, john garamendi, polling data, republican david harmer, democrat john garamendi

In an e-blast from the David Harmer for Congress campaign, Kristin Heuter, Finance Director for Harmer claims the Republican candidate leads Democrat John Garamendi, according to recent polling.

The mailing claims:

- As of Monday, Sept. 28th David Harmer has just pulled dead even with his opponent. Generic ballot has shifted dramatically to 40% Republican, 44% Democratic, as compared to 29% Republican, 52% Democratic in August. When adjusted for likely turnout that ballot number moves to dead even.

- John Garamendi is carrying a significant 30% negative in this District, evidence of a damaging primary election.

- Among those voters who have heard of both candidates, Harmer is winning by a substantial 49% to 32% for Garamendi. This means, if Harmer gets his message out, he wins by a comfortable margin.

- Harmer is also leading among Decline-to-State voters by a margin of 40% for Harmer, 26% for Garamendi.

{ 10 comments… read them below or add one }

1 admin October 26, 2009 at 1:08 pm

My name is Bernie Madoff, and if you’re a Republican or know one, I will double you money by November 3!

2 Disillusioned Mouseketeer October 26, 2009 at 12:31 pm

Harmer was on KSFO this morning and he said he was only 2 points behind Garamendi. What’s up with that?

3 BGR October 26, 2009 at 9:09 am

You are supposed to share the e-mail. This is what the Internet is for. Little girl “she said he said” claims ought to be bolstered with primary documents.

LOL above says 25 points. You say double digits. If I were a gambling man I’d take 10 points.

Comically, any loss below 20 points, Del Beccaro and company will claim as a stunning victory for the party and the brilliant leader.

Poor David.

4 William Waldberg October 25, 2009 at 11:17 pm

Harmer is sending out email stating that he is now down by 7 points. He will lose by double digits. Take it to the Bank!

5 admin October 24, 2009 at 7:54 pm

I’ll take those points!

6 LOL October 24, 2009 at 6:28 pm

LOL…Harmer is a tool. He will lose by at least 25 points.

7 admin September 30, 2009 at 5:06 pm

Now Now. Seriously! No need to get catty. Please don’t blame Alyane for my pathetic photographic skills. Afterall, it was an iPhone pic with iffy lighting.

8 Yawn. September 30, 2009 at 4:53 pm

Who’s the bottle blond in the photo? She needs to touch up those roots. Badly.

9 Yawn. September 30, 2009 at 1:52 pm

Wasn’t the ‘Harmer camp’ telling us just a few weeks ago their man was going to take it all on Sept. 1? TDGB and Caporusso must need more $$.

10 RF September 30, 2009 at 1:11 pm

Anyone who believes this believes in Magic and Unicorns.

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